Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 7.327517 8.126008 9.019016 10.100661 11.387552 12.885498 14.784893
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.085397 7.122928 8.385108 10.067715 12.307593 15.274717 19.668507
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.292337 6.397338 7.812484 9.818776 12.701537 16.897182 23.924364
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.806536 5.956525 7.490002 9.775761 13.280177 18.829340 29.295410
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.428542 5.597729 7.208381 9.710973 13.767689 20.698401 35.359982
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.221104 5.440934 7.177016 9.992089 14.833802 23.836449 45.697782
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.890528 5.074425 6.793194 9.655282 14.768396 24.829061 51.799522
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.599731 4.739895 6.421992 9.284800 14.564500 25.473229 57.482919
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.379048 4.490882 6.157395 9.056203 14.578320 26.587787 65.542968
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.227297 4.332976 6.019390 9.024981 14.965390 28.686089 79.162174
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.222444 4.396044 6.236184 9.647115 16.814586 35.202199 121.608207
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.163317 4.369097 6.301022 9.996356 18.164638 41.135702 179.403114
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.998003 4.174943 6.088151 9.826687 18.387313 44.131498 234.660882
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.865146 4.026744 5.945987 9.788742 18.957470 48.874314 344.988179
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.715134 3.840232 5.720328 9.549801 18.961025 51.604857 468.788491
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.608322 3.717781 5.597580 9.508524 19.485128 56.984086 776.257011
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.508189 3.599962 5.473059 9.446352 19.941005 62.608696 1433.380647
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.459951 3.566136 5.498583 9.716055 21.454661 75.551426 6831.583184
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.341180 3.404989 5.274419 9.392904 21.060323 77.271008 17196.271127
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.226935 3.246466 5.045800 9.037183 20.492746 77.562261 53850.029930
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.136888 3.125861 4.882205 8.817556 20.331506 80.671980 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.075068 3.051485 4.802395 8.787550 20.807461 89.275572 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.085834 3.104705 4.973088 9.385065 23.709304 125.403433 NaN